northeast

Holiday Weekend Weather in the Northeast

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December 31, 1969

Friday 8 AM This video shows how the weather should unfold where you live or where you are going during the holiday weekend. For most of the eastern Great Lakes, Middle Atlantic states and New England, the warmest day will be Monday, with northern areas in the 80s and other places taking a shot at 90 degrees. Last evening, my

Severe Thunderstorms Farther East

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December 31, 1969

Thursday 8AM In today's video we see that the primary threat zone for severe weather has shifted eastward to the western and central parts of New York and Pennsylvania. Raw and chilly weather has invaded areas around Lake Michigan. However, all these regions will share summer warmth for Memorial Day. I remain concerned about the risk of nasty thunderstorms from

Dangerous to Delightful

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December 31, 1969

Wednesday 9 a.m. Stunning contrasts stand out this morning: In the I-95 corridor, there's the first prolonged set of days with afternoons in the summer-style 80s with sunshine. Meanwhile, deadly tornadoes continue their rampage through areas that have been affected by severe storms all spring. The video shows where the NWS Storm Prediction Center believes there is an elevated risk

Summer Surge for Northeast

in
December 31, 1969

Tuesday 8 a.m. Warm air is moving into New England today, though its arrival is marked by areas of clouds and the chance of afternoon thunderstorms. However, when you realize the temperature has failed to reach 70 at any time this month in Portland, Maine... or 73 in Boston, any warmth will be greeted as a sign of progress. In

Danger Zone Shifting North

in
December 31, 1969

Monday 8 a.m. A warm front moving northeastward from Maryland should pass Maine by tomorrow, allowing warm and more humid air to move into the Northeast. Ahead of the front, the day started gray and gloomy with several clusters and lines of showers and thunderstorms scattered about. The most concentrated area of thunderstorms was in the Ohio Valley, as shown

Warmer Weather on the Way

in
December 31, 1969

Friday 8 AM This morning, the low pressure area that has sponsored days of showery weather in the Middle and North Atlantic states is centered over northern New Jersey. Earlier in the week, the most numerous showers and areas with the heaviest rain were east of the low pressure center. Since then, however, the eastern side has tended to dry

Warmer for the Northeast This Weekend

in
December 31, 1969

Thursday 9:30 AM The slow-moving low pressure area aloft centered just west of Pittsburgh this morning should be off the East Coast tomorrow night. In the meantime, widespread cloudiness with showers and thunderstorms will gloomify (make gloomy) the afternoon for much of the area from Maryland to Maine. Thunderstorms will be most numerous around mid to late afternoon in southern

Deluge or Drizzle, it is Dull, Damp and Dreary

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December 31, 1969

Wednesday 7:30 a.m. The slow-moving storm causing widespread clouds and dampness is also producing pockets of locally flooding rain. Aloft, there is a closed-off low pressure area that is cut-off from the prevailing westerlies that surround it. So far, the lack of organization has meant that few areas have had continuous heavy rain. However, heavy downpours have occurred in some

Flood Threat from Eastern Storm

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December 31, 1969

Tuesday 8:15 a.m. A slow-moving storm centered in central North Carolina is strengthening today and expanding its area of influence. From satellite movies, we can see that the storm has actually tapped into tropical moisture that had been over the Bahamas. Since there is a closed low aloft that is cut off from the main belt of the westerlies, the

Cloudiness Continues and Dampness Dominates

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December 31, 1969

Monday 7:45 a.m. With a low pressure area parked over the Middle Atlantic states, damp weather is the rule over the northeast quarter of the country. Now, as a low pressure area aloft over the Tennessee Valley approaches the East Coast and strengthens, the area of rain will expand tonight and tomorrow. On a positive note, the lower Mississippi Valley

Friday the Thirteenth

in
December 31, 1969

Friday 9 AM The fine weather that has been common in the Middle Atlantic states (and today all the way through New England) will be replaced by a wetter regime this weekend into next week. The video shows this, and suggests how things will proceed into next week. On Friday the 13th, virtually all the fears known to humanity seem

From Days of Dryness to Weekend Wetness

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December 31, 1969

Thursday 8:55 AM The slow-moving storm that has kept cloudy, cool weather over eastern New England is moving slowly away. The narrow area of high pressure that has promoted beautiful weather from New York state to Virginia is also drifting slowly eastward. And... the widespread shower- and thunderstorm-producing system causing areas of precipitation from Colorado to Ohio is also moving

Day and Night in the Northeast

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December 31, 1969

Wednesday 11 a.m. Rarely is there as much contrast in the weather as we see now between the New England coast and the interior from Vermont to Virginia. In Boston, yesterday's high temperature was 53 and the low was 48. The low was right in line with long-term averages, but the high was a dozen degrees below average. In Burlington,

Not Much Changing in the Northeast

in
December 31, 1969

Tuesday 8 a.m. More showers and heavy thunderstorms will affect the flood-ravaged Mississippi Valley this week while dreary, damp and overcast weather lingers from coastal Massachusetts to Maine. In between, plan on at least 3 or 4 days of the finest weather we have experienced so far this spring. Sam the Dog has enjoyed the nice weather so far and

Enjoy it While it Lasts

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December 31, 1969

Monday 7:45 a.m. For weeks, weather systems affecting the Great Lakes and Northeast raced along. One area of rain would hardly be gone before the next one arrived. Now, however, it is all different. A strong storm has stalled east of New England, and it is blocking the advance (and departure) of the high pressure area now causing fine weather

Major Horse Race May be Affected by Reins

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December 31, 1969

Friday 8 a.m. This video explores the weekend weather makers: At Churchill Downs, they have experienced the frequent heavy rain that has swamped and flooded the Ohio Valley. But now, the mane equestrian is whether showers race in by late afternoon or if they somehow stall until tomorrow night. Once the rain does gallop in, it may not last furlong...

Change is Constant

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December 31, 1969

Thursday 8 a.m. The storm that caused rain along the Northeast corridor yesterday has retreated to the northeast, but gusty, cool winds prevail from eastern Ontario to the Middle Atlantic coast. In response to surface heating while it remains cold aloft, some showers and even a thunderstorm could pop up during the midday and afternoon hours. It is very dry

Looking Ahead to Mother's Day

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December 31, 1969

Wednesday 8 a.m. On one of my calendars, it says today is Star Wars Day. May the Fourth be with you. I hadn't recalled this, but I think every episode had a gynecologist in it: O-B-G-Y-N Kenobi. Now, back to the weather. A cold front is now reaching the Northeast coast. Much of the rain associated with the front is

March in May

in
December 31, 1969

Tuesday 7:05 AM The video forecast shows the frontal zone responsible for a wide variation in temperature between the Middle Atlantic states and the Ohio Valley/Great Lakes regions, that also marks the southeast boundary of a band of soaking rain. That rain has been falling from Louisiana to Ohio... mostly in places that have gotten excessive rain recently. Since April

May Starts Rainy in Places Already Soaked

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December 31, 1969

Monday 7:30 AM The forecast video suggests that the frequently wet weather that affected the area from the Ohio Valley to the Northeast in April will continue. Wave after wave crashes upon the shore, then fades to a feeble foam that vanishes in the endless sand. Winds bluster and gust, only to be followed by quiet interludes of silence and

At What Cost Safety?

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December 31, 1969

Friday 8AM Most areas are getting a more-than-welcome break from the string of storms that brought death and destruction recently. This video shows how the weather should behave this weekend. The first two weeks of May could easily be quite a bit cooler than average across the Great Lakes and Northeast because an upper-air trough position may reside over these

Storms in Northeast Corridor

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December 31, 1969

Thursday 11:20 a.m. The storm and frontal system that have been tragically deadly from the southern Plains to Georgia will be moving off the East Coast tonight. This video shows the progression of weather systems likely through early next week. As the front moves through the Middle and North Atlantic states, it will trigger showers and thunderstorms. This morning, tornado

Severe Thunderstorms Advance

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December 31, 1969

Wednesday 10 a.m. The video shows how things should evolve as we go from today through the weekend. I was recording a time lapse movie last evening and managed to capture a lightning streak.

Violent Thunderstorms from Texas to Pennsylvania

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December 31, 1969

Tuesday 8 AM Today's video shows how the weather pattern should progress for the rest of the week. Severe thunderstorms can break out this afternoon from Texas to southern New York state. However, the very worst conditions are likely in the area from northeast Texas east northeastward to the Mississippi River. In fact, the National Weather Service's Storm Prediction Center

Warming and Storming

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December 31, 1969

Monday 6:50 AM This morning, a front extends from New Jersey across southern Pennsylvania, then down the Ohio Valley and on southwest to a low pressure center forming over Oklahoma. As that low pressure area moves northeastward to near Milwaukee and Chicago by tomorrow morning, the front will move northward as a warm front. Ahead of it, a shield of

Hark, Ye Knaves

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December 31, 1969

Friday 7:30 AM Today's video offering: Tomorrow marks the anniversary of both the birth and death of William Shakespeare. The playwright created at least 37 plays and 154 sonnets. He was born in 1564 and died in 1616. But hark, ye knaves! We can use some of Shakespeare's play titles to see if the weather will play right. The morning

Warmer in the Northeast Next Week

in
December 31, 1969

Thursday 7:55 AM As a high pressure area builds in the upper atmosphere just off the East Coast for a while next week, a southwesterly flow will bathe the East with air from the Gulf of Mexico. How rainy or dry it will be at any one time remains to be seen, because there will be a slow-moving front inching

Snow in May

in
December 31, 1969

Wednesday 9 a.m. Here is today's video forecast. The ongoing thunderstorm situation with a cold front now approaching the Appalachians is a major issue today. However, along the I-95 corridor, there is a different issue: how far will the warm front advance? Here are isobar maps from 3 a.m. and 8 a.m. EDT: 3 a.m. 8 a.m. The bulge in

Thunderstorms Mark the Boundary of an Air Mass

in
December 31, 1969

Tuesday 7 a.m. A front extending from Maryland to Missouri separates very warm air to the south from air that becomes progressively cooler the farther north you go. Yesterday, it snowed from northern Illinois to central New York state. This morning, numerous thunderstorms line the front. You can see the clusters of storms that were present around daybreak in the

Strong Storms Again This Week

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December 31, 1969

Monday 7:15 a.m. The storm that spawned killer tornadoes from the Plains to the Carolinas caused heavy rain and high winds across the Northeast. The high pressure area that followed the storm is weak and fleeting. The morning map shows a front on a line from central Virginia to the middle of Kansas. North of the front, it becomes progressively

Rainstorm This Weekend

in
December 31, 1969

Friday 8AM A major storm will move from the Mississippi Valley today to eastern Canada during the day Sunday. Substantial rainfall will accompany the storm, and I think the timing suggested by last night's GFS model should help you pick out when the bulk of the rain will affect your area. See the model sequence in this video, OK? Monday's

Consistent Inconsistency

in
December 31, 1969

Thursday 9AM Our weather of late has varied from one extreme to another, and that will continue. Today is beautiful across most of the Northeast, but Saturday will turn rainy and gray from west to east. This video shows the likely progression. Since yesterday, we have gone from the palace of precipitation, the garden of gloom, the dungeon of dismal

Wet to Wonderful to Wet

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December 31, 1969

Wednesday 7:45 a.m. The storm that was developing in southern West Virginia yesterday morning has moved to coastal Maryland, and it will proceed northeastward to pass the Maine coast tomorrow morning. Patches of rain continue to circulate around the storm, making it overcast, dull, dreary, dismal and damp across New York and Pennsylvania. The heaviest rain today will move across

Rain Advances through the Northeast

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December 31, 1969

Tuesday 9 a.m. 1. A low pressure area centered over southern West Virginia at 8 a.m. will move to the Middle Atlantic coast (Delaware/New Jersey) then into eastern New England tomorrow. In the heart of the rain area, it is really pouring. Many places from Washington, D.C., to New York City will get half an inch to an inch of

Warmer then Wetter

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December 31, 1969

Monday 9 a.m. This video shows what should happen this week. 1. As southwest winds increase today, the long awaited warmup should finally occur Pennsylvania into at least southern New England. The satellite picture at 9 a.m.still showed a lot of cloudiness over the Northeast. In order for predicted temperatures to be reached, some of the clearer weather now west

Waiting for Warmth

in
December 31, 1969

Friday 8 a.m. The celebration is premature, but my morning uniform in this video suggests where the forecast is heading for Sunday and especially Monday.

Chill Slow to Exit the Northeast

in
December 31, 1969

Thursday 9:45 AM This video should give you an idea about what to expect anywhere in the Great Lakes and Northeast as we head through the weekend. By Sunday and Monday, very warm air will be in place along the East Coast. However, as a cold front moves through the Great Lakes and Ohio Valley regions, there is likely to

Rain to Mark the Boundary Between Cold and Warm

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December 31, 1969

Wednesday 8 a.m. The cold front that brought wind-driven rain to parts of the Middle Atlantic region yesterday sped offshore. This morning, there is a high pressure area over the Southeast. It is creating a flow of warmer air from the Gulf of Mexico to the Ohio Valley. At first, this air mass is pretty dry, but as that flow

April Fools' Day

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December 31, 1969

Thursday 9:45 PM EDT (8:45 AM Friday It's Raining Again Phuket, Thailand) It is interesting how the models we rely on for guidance change roles as storm systems evolve and move. Earlier this week, the ECMWF suggested the storm for the Northeast tonight and tomorrow would be the weaker of two systems (the other one moved through yesterday). At the

April Fools Storm to Cause Heavy Snow and Rain

in
December 31, 1969

Update 12:30 AM Thursday EDT (11:30 AM Thursday in Phuket) The 00Z GFS continues with basically the same story, with one new wrinkle. It shows an extra batch of precipitation on the west side of the storm as the center passes near the coast. IF that happens (and with the available moisture and the system deepening, it is plausible), there

Snow and Rain to Greet April

in
December 31, 1969

Thursday 10AM (Phuket, Thailand) Wednesday 11PM EDT Storm number one that I discussed in my last post is now causing snow in much of Pennsylvania, except for the extreme southeast. The second storm seems to be following the previous GFS idea, and suggests heavy snow from Thursday night into Friday from the mountains of West Virginia across central or east-central

April Fools Snowstorm of 2011

in
December 31, 1969

Tuesday 9:38 a.m. (Thailand Time) (11 hours earlier, EDT) My wife and I are spending this week with our son and daughter-in-law who live in Taiwan. We are being treated to vacation in Phuket, Thailand. It is a beautiful place and the people we have met are very friendly. This morning, it is pouring. The winds are creating white caps

Snow, Sleet, Rain, Cold, Warm, Thunderstorms

in
December 31, 1969

Wednesday 8 a.m. Note: I will be out of the office until April 5. A storm that has caused everything from heavy snow to tornadoes is moving into the East today. This pressure analysis shows where the storm was centered at 9 a.m. The winds are strong out of the southwest to the south of the low pressure area, and

Snow, Sleet, Rain, Cold, Warm, Thunderstorms

in
December 31, 1969

Wednesday 8 a.m.

Wintry Times In Springtime

in
December 31, 1969

Tuesday 8 a.m. Yesterday's storm is gone, but another one is on the way. This one that caused heavy precipitation on the West Coast will cause severe thunderstorms in Missouri, Illinois and Iowa today, then from the Ohio Valley to North Carolina and Tennessee tomorrow. Ahead of the storm, chilly air will seep southward from eastern Canada. Snow will fall

Spring is Here but Weather Did Not Get the Memo

in
December 31, 1969

Monday 7:55 a.m. When we reach 30, 40, 50, 60, 70, etc., years old, it seems like quite a jump in our personal age perceptions. However, we soon realize that most changes are gradual. And so it is that just because it is now spring this does not mean it will become warmer right away. The morning weather map showed

May in March

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December 31, 1969

Friday 8AM May can sometimes feel like March for a while if you may, and sometimes March feels like May, if you will. Today will bring a taste of May if you will, but the May-style weather will quickly march, and there are no maybes about it, if you will. In other words, with a taste of May on this

Green Light for Warming

in
December 31, 1969

Thursday 7:50 AM Top o' the mornin to you. Let's hope the Luck of the Irish is with you today, and that some of it helps the less fortunate. St. Patrick's Days of the past have been momentous. In 1776, the British abandoned Boston on this date. A snowstorm on March 5th had thwarted their plans to attack the American

Warm Surges, then Cold Seeps

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December 31, 1969

Wednesday 8 a.m. The storm that caused rain in the Middle Atlantic states last night also brought some wet snow to the higher elevations from central Pennsylvania into upstate New York. When I woke up at 2:30 to get ready for work, there was a covering of slush in the back yard. My house is at an altitude of 1,400

Rain Springs then Spring Reigns

in
December 31, 1969

Tuesday 7:45 a.m. A low pressure area that was centered near Louisville, Ky., early this morning will move northeastward and eventually merge with another low pressure area that is advancing eastward from Manitoba. Rain is moving northeastward from the Ohio and Tennessee valleys. Rain should arrive in the D.C. area before nightfall, advance into New York City after midnight then

Spring Fever Watch for Late This Week

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December 31, 1969

Monday 7:30 a.m. In today's video, I show the projected upper air flow for later this week and early next week. If it is right, much milder air is on the way for most of the Great Lakes and Northeast. Meanwhile, a low pressure area from the southern Plains is moving northeastward. It will send rain up the Ohio River

Tsunami in Pacific Basin; Rain and Snow in the Northeast

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December 31, 1969

Friday 5:10 AM Here is an early video. Rain changed to snow as expected from the lower Great Lakes to the Ohio Valley. The main rain area leaves the New York City area and proceeds through New England. The Washington to New York City corridor will have a dry weekend.

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